Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 · match 5 of 8
South Africa vs Bangladesh 3rd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Tue, 01 Dec 2026
Newlands, Cape Town
Fair odds for the pick 1.35
In 30 seconds
- South Africa at 74%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.35).
- Pitch suits bowlers; South Africa projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- two-paced, bowler-friendly
- Favours
- Bowlers
Who wins the SA vs BAN 3rd ODI?
South Africa take this one on our numbers: 74% to 26% over Bangladesh, which is a strong lean. Expect 323 from South Africa and 298 from Bangladesh at Newlands, where the bowlers should hold the upper hand. Play starts Tue, 01 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A grinding pitch. Wickets will come from mistimed drives and miscued pulls more than from unplayable deliveries. Both sides will lean on the bowlers, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
A win here gives South Africa control with 3 matches left, and losing would hand Bangladesh momentum.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
The toss winner should bowl and keep the chase on the better version of this pitch.
How many will South Africa and Bangladesh score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a two-paced, bowler-friendly surface at Newlands.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for SA vs BAN
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Match result
South Africa to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.35, the value has gone.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
South Africa first-innings total
Over 308.5
Our projection sits near 323, comfortably clear of 308.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 22%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Kagiso Rabada (South Africa)
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Kagiso Rabada93
Trusted at the end of the innings
Keshav Maharaj82
Takes wickets through the middle
Bangladesh
Shakib Al Hasan84
Balances the XI
Taskin Ahmed84
Trusted at the end of the innings
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Kagiso Rabada is left out
We would trim South Africa by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If Bangladesh win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points Bangladesh's way.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of South Africa vs Bangladesh
With 3 games of Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 still to follow, this match 5 can tilt the series. The model leans to South Africa at 74%, mostly on squad quality and how Newlands has played in recent seasons. South Africa play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. For Bangladesh to win, they need early wickets or one innings of real substance; anything less and the favourites should control it.
On the toss: The toss winner should bowl and keep the chase on the better version of this pitch.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.
Newlands in Cape Town hosts the 3rd ODI on Tue, 01 Dec 2026: fixture 5 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 4 days before this one at St George's Park in Gqeberha, which means a travel day to Cape Town in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 1st T20I, 4 days after this match at Diamond Oval in Kimberley.
Also at Newlands on the Wazir Win calendar: 3rd Test: South Africa vs Australia (31 Oct), 3rd Test: South Africa vs England (29 Dec) (2 fixtures in all).
- 27 Nov2nd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshSt George's Park
- 01 Dec3rd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshNewlands
- 05 Dec1st T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshDiamond Oval
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FAQ · 9
SA vs BAN 3rd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Wazir Win predicts South Africa, with a 74% win chance against 26% for Bangladesh. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch at Newlands should play.
What are fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs BAN 3rd ODI?
Our 74% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.35 for South Africa and 3.85 for Bangladesh. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the SA vs BAN 3rd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Tue, 01 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Newlands, Cape Town. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Newlands?
We read it as two-paced, bowler-friendly, which should favour the bowlers. A grinding pitch. Wickets will come from mistimed drives and miscued pulls more than from unplayable deliveries.
What should the captain do at the toss in SA vs BAN?
The toss winner should bowl and keep the chase on the better version of this pitch. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Bangladesh to win?
Bangladesh need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 26%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
South Africa vs Bangladesh mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein South Africa ka palda bhaari hai: 74% chance, Bangladesh ka 26%. Match Tue, 01 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Cape Town ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch two-paced, bowler-friendly hai, yaani gendbazon ka palda bhaari rahega aur score kam rahega. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
How accurate are Wazir Win cricket predictions?
Every number is a probability. A 74% favourite should still lose about 26 times in 100, so use our call as one input and set a budget before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.