Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
75%Our pick
Arsenal
Strong lean

19:30

India time

Sat, 15 May 2027 · 15:00 UK

Emirates Stadium, London

Draw 16%

Fair odds for the pick 1.33

9%Win chance
Nottingham Forest

In 30 seconds

  1. Arsenal 75%, draw 16%, Forest 9%: a strong lean.
  2. Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.1 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 46%.
Predicted score
2-0
Wazir Win pick
Arsenal
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Arsenal vs Forest?

Strong lean: Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 75% to win (fair odds 1.33), with the draw at 16%. We expect 3.1 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 15 May 2027, 19:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Arsenal

    Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 61% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Arsenal

    Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Arsenal vs Forest?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Expected goals
2.44 – 0.71
Half-time call
1-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Forest

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    89%

    Draw no bet

    Arsenal

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    61%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    13%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-0 Forest

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Arsenal

A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Forest will need a disciplined, low block.

Away

Nottingham Forest

Expect Forest to stay compact on their trip to Emirates Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Arsenal name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Forest score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Arsenal vs Forest

Arsenal take on Nottingham Forest in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (2.44 for Arsenal, 0.71 for Forest) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 75% for Arsenal. Forest's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Arsenal and Forest

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Leeds on 08 May. After this, they go away at Everton 8 days after this one. League game 36 of 38.

Forest play 7 days after their game at home to Palace on 08 May. After this, they go at home to Ipswich 8 days after this one. League game 36 of 38.

These sides already met at City Ground on Sun, 18 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 08 MayLeeds vs ArsenalElland Road
  2. 08 MayForest vs PalaceCity Ground
  3. 15 MayArsenal vs ForestEmirates Stadium
  4. 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 23 MayForest vs IpswichCity Ground
  1. 18 OctNottingham Forest vs ArsenalPremier League · 21:00 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 30 MayArsenal vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 23 MayNottingham Forest vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 30 MayCoventry City vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 15 MayAston Villa vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Forest?

Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 75%, the draw 16% and Forest 9%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?

Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Forest?

On our numbers: Arsenal 1.33, draw 6.25, Forest 11.11. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest kick off in India?

19:30 IST India time on Sat, 15 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Arsenal vs Forest mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 75%, draw 16%, Forest 9%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

What would make Forest win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Forest 9%.

Where can I watch Arsenal vs Forest?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Forest?

We put both teams to score at 46%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.