Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Arsenal prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 23 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 22%
Fair odds for the pick 1.75
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 57%, draw 22%, Everton 21%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are our pick for Everton vs Arsenal, at 57% (clear lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-1, both teams score in 55% of simulations, and the draw sits at 22%. Kick-off is Sun, 23 May 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Everton's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 56% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 1.04 – 1.89
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium, so Everton will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Arsenal
Everton take on Arsenal in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (1.04 for Everton, 1.89 for Arsenal) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 57% for Arsenal. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 8 days after their game away at Chelsea on 15 May. After this, they go away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 37 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Forest on 15 May. After this, they go at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 37 of 38.
These sides already met at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 24 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
- 15 MayArsenal vs ForestEmirates Stadium
- 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson Stadium
- 30 MayIpswich vs EvertonPortman Road
- 30 MayArsenal vs BrightonEmirates Stadium
More Everton and Arsenal dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Everton 21%, the draw 22% and Arsenal 57%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Everton 4.76, draw 4.55, Arsenal 1.75. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Arsenal kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 23 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Everton 21%, draw 22%, Arsenal 57%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Arsenal?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Arsenal?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.