Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 24 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.70
In 30 seconds
- Everton 37%, draw 26%, Brighton 37%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Brighton?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Everton. The Wazir Win goals model gives Everton 37%, the draw 26% and Brighton 37%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 24 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Everton
Everton are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Brighton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.36
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Brighton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 63%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Everton or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Brighton win loses.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Brighton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
Well organised and hard to play through, Brighton usually earn results on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Brighton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Brighton
Everton take on Brighton & Hove Albion in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Everton's way. The gap in expected goals (1.34 for Everton, 1.36 for Brighton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 37% for Everton. Brighton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Brighton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 7 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 17 Apr. After this, they go away at Fulham 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.
Brighton play 7 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 17 Apr. After this, they go at home to Forest 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.
These sides already met at American Express Stadium on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 17 AprEverton vs BournemouthHill Dickinson Stadium
- 17 AprBrighton vs ChelseaAmerican Express Stadium
- 24 AprEverton vs BrightonHill Dickinson Stadium
- 01 MayFulham vs EvertonCraven Cottage
- 01 MayBrighton vs ForestAmerican Express Stadium
More Everton and Brighton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Brighton?
Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Everton 37%, the draw 26% and Brighton 37%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Brighton?
On our numbers: Everton 2.70, draw 3.85, Brighton 2.70. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 24 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Brighton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 37%, draw 26%, Brighton 37%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Brighton?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Brighton?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.