Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.27
In 30 seconds
- Everton 44%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 31%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Bournemouth?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Everton. The Wazir Win goals model gives Everton 44%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 31%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Everton
Everton are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.49 – 1.21
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 69%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Everton or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Bournemouth win loses.
- 71%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 1-0 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Expect Everton to stay compact at Hill Dickinson Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Bournemouth score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth head to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.49 expected goals for Everton and 1.21 for Bournemouth; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Everton win 44% of them. For Bournemouth, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Everton and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.
These sides already met at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 10 AprPalace vs EvertonSelhurst Park
- 10 AprBournemouth vs Man CityVitality Stadium
- 17 AprEverton vs BournemouthHill Dickinson Stadium
- 24 AprEverton vs BrightonHill Dickinson Stadium
- 24 AprBournemouth vs ArsenalVitality Stadium
More Everton and Bournemouth dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Everton 44%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 31%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Everton 2.27, draw 4.00, Bournemouth 3.23. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 44%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 31%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Bournemouth?
We put both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
What would make Bournemouth win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Bournemouth 31%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.