Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 01 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.38
In 30 seconds
- Bournemouth 42%, draw 25%, Hull 33%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-2; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 57%.
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Bournemouth
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Bournemouth?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Bournemouth. The Wazir Win goals model gives Hull 33%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 42%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-2. Kick-off: Sat, 01 May 2027, 19:30 IST at MKM Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Bournemouth's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Bournemouth
Bournemouth rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.31 – 1.53
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 67%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Hull win loses.
- 57%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 57% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 1-2 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
Hull are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape at MKM Stadium, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to MKM Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Bournemouth name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth head to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.31 expected goals for Hull and 1.53 for Bournemouth; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Bournemouth win 42% of them. For Hull, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Hull and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 24 Apr. After this, they go away at Everton 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 24 Apr. After this, they go at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
These sides already met at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Hull and Bournemouth dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts AFC Bournemouth. Our goals model gives Hull 33%, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 42%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-2 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Hull 3.03, draw 4.00, Bournemouth 2.38. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 01 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Hull 33%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 42%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Hull win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Bournemouth's attack. We give Hull 33%.
Where can I watch Hull vs Bournemouth?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Bournemouth?
We put both teams to score at 57%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.