Premier League · London derby
Fulham vs Brentford prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Craven Cottage, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.04
In 30 seconds
- Fulham 49%, draw 26%, Brentford 25%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; a low-scoring game expected (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Fulham
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Fulham vs Brentford?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Fulham. The Wazir Win goals model gives Fulham 49%, the draw 26% and Brentford 25%, and expects 2.5 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Craven Cottage.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Fulham
Fulham are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Few goals
Only 2.5 expected goals, so the under is the natural lean: over 2.5 lands just 45% of the time.
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Fulham vs Brentford?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.49 – 0.98
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Fulham vs Brentford
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 66%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Fulham
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Brentford win beats it.
- 76%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Fulham 1-0 Brentford
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Fulham
Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Craven Cottage, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Brentford
Expect Brentford to stay compact on their trip to Craven Cottage and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Fulham name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Brentford score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Fulham vs Brentford
Fulham take on Brentford in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Fulham's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.49 for Fulham, 0.98 for Brentford) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 49% for Fulham. Brentford's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Fulham and Brentford
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Everton on 05 Dec. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
Brentford play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 05 Dec. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
They meet again at Gtech Community Stadium on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
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FAQ · 8
Fulham vs Brentford: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Brentford?
Wazir Win predicts Fulham. Our goals model gives Fulham 49%, the draw 26% and Brentford 25%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Brentford?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Fulham vs Brentford?
On our numbers: Fulham 2.04, draw 3.85, Brentford 4.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Fulham vs Brentford kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Fulham vs Brentford mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Fulham aage hain: Fulham 49%, draw 26%, Brentford 25%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Brentford?
2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 8% of the time.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Brentford?
We put both teams to score at 48%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 45%.
What would make Brentford win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Fulham's attack. We give Brentford 25%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.