Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Fulham prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Elland Road, Leeds
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.33
In 30 seconds
- Leeds 43%, draw 25%, Fulham 32%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Leeds
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Leeds vs Fulham?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Leeds. The Wazir Win goals model gives Leeds 43%, the draw 25% and Fulham 32%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Elland Road.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Leeds
Leeds are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Leeds
Leeds rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Leeds vs Fulham?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.51 – 1.26
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Leeds vs Fulham
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Leeds or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Fulham win loses.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Leeds 1-0 Fulham
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Leeds are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Elland Road, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Fulham
Expect Fulham to stay compact on their trip to Elland Road and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Leeds name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Leeds vs Fulham
Fulham head to Elland Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.51 expected goals for Leeds and 1.26 for Fulham; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Leeds win 43% of them. For Fulham, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Leeds and Fulham
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Leeds play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 12 Dec. After this, they go away at Villa 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
Fulham play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 12 Dec. After this, they go at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
They meet again at Craven Cottage on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
More Leeds and Fulham dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Leeds United vs Fulham: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Fulham?
Wazir Win predicts Leeds United. Our goals model gives Leeds 43%, the draw 25% and Fulham 32%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Fulham?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Leeds vs Fulham?
On our numbers: Leeds 2.33, draw 4.00, Fulham 3.13. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Leeds United vs Fulham kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Leeds vs Fulham mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Leeds United aage hain: Leeds 43%, draw 25%, Fulham 32%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Fulham?
We put both teams to score at 56%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Fulham?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Fulham?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.