Premier League 2026/27
Fulham vs Leeds United prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 27 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Craven Cottage, London
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.72
In 30 seconds
- Fulham 58%, draw 23%, Leeds 19%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 50%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Fulham
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Fulham vs Leeds?
Clear lean: Fulham. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 58% to win (fair odds 1.72), with the draw at 23%. We expect 2.7 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 27 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Craven Cottage.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Fulham
Fulham are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Fulham
Fulham rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Fulham vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.78 – 0.92
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Fulham vs Leeds
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 75%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Fulham
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Leeds win beats it.
- 71%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Fulham 1-0 Leeds
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Fulham
Expect Fulham to stay compact at Craven Cottage and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Leeds United
Leeds are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Craven Cottage, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Fulham name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Leeds score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Fulham vs Leeds
Leeds United head to Craven Cottage for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a clear lean. We project 1.78 expected goals for Fulham and 0.92 for Leeds; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Fulham win 58% of them. For Leeds, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Fulham and Leeds
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Arsenal on 20 Feb. After this, they go away at Brighton 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.
Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Villa on 20 Feb. After this, they go at home to Hull 4 days after this one. League game 27 of 38.
These sides already met at Elland Road on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Fulham and Leeds dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Fulham vs Leeds United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Leeds?
Wazir Win predicts Fulham. Our goals model gives Fulham 58%, the draw 23% and Leeds 19%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Leeds United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Fulham vs Leeds?
On our numbers: Fulham 1.72, draw 4.35, Leeds 5.26. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Fulham vs Leeds United kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 27 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Fulham vs Leeds mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Fulham aage hain: Fulham 58%, draw 23%, Leeds 19%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Leeds?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Where can I watch Fulham vs Leeds?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Leeds?
We put both teams to score at 50%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.