Premier League · London derby

Arsenal vs Fulham prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
75%Our pick
Arsenal
Strong lean

20:30

India time

Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK

Emirates Stadium, London

Draw 17%

Fair odds for the pick 1.33

8%Win chance
Fulham

In 30 seconds

  1. Arsenal 75%, draw 17%, Fulham 8%: a strong lean.
  2. Predicted score 2-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  3. It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
2-0
Wazir Win pick
Arsenal
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Who wins Arsenal vs Fulham?

Arsenal are our pick for Arsenal vs Fulham, at 75% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 2-0, both teams score in 40% of simulations, and the draw sits at 17%. Kick-off is Sat, 20 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Arsenal

    Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).

  3. Derby heat

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.

How many goals in Arsenal vs Fulham?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
2.23 – 0.59
Half-time call
1-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Fulham

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    90%

    Draw no bet

    Arsenal

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    54%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    15%

    Correct score

    Arsenal 2-0 Fulham

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Arsenal

A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Fulham will need a disciplined, low block.

Away

Fulham

Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Emirates Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Arsenal name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Arsenal vs Fulham

Arsenal take on Fulham in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (2.23 for Arsenal, 0.59 for Fulham) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 75% for Arsenal. Fulham's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Arsenal and Fulham

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Arsenal play 10 days after their game away at Ipswich on 10 Feb. After this, they go away at Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

Fulham play 10 days after their game at home to Forest on 10 Feb. After this, they go at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

These sides already met at Craven Cottage on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 10 FebIpswich vs ArsenalPortman Road
  2. 10 FebFulham vs ForestCraven Cottage
  3. 20 FebArsenal vs FulhamEmirates Stadium
  4. 27 FebMan Utd vs ArsenalOld Trafford
  5. 27 FebFulham vs LeedsCraven Cottage
  1. 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalPremier League · 01:00 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  2. 27 FebManchester United vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 03 MarArsenal vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  4. 27 FebFulham vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 03 MarBrighton & Hove Albion vs FulhamPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  6. 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Arsenal vs Fulham: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Fulham?

Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 75%, the draw 17% and Fulham 8%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Fulham?

Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 15%.

What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Fulham?

On our numbers: Arsenal 1.33, draw 5.88, Fulham 12.50. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Arsenal vs Fulham kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Arsenal vs Fulham mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 75%, draw 17%, Fulham 8%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Fulham?

2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.

What would make Fulham win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Fulham 8%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.