Premier League · London derby
Fulham vs Arsenal prediction
01:00
India time
Wed, 30 Dec 2026 · 19:30 UK
Craven Cottage, London
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 1.89
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 53%, draw 25%, Fulham 22%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.6 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Fulham vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are our pick for Fulham vs Arsenal, at 53% (slight lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-1, both teams score in 50% of simulations, and the draw sits at 25%. Kick-off is Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 01:00 IST, next day.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Fulham's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (49% for the over).
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Fulham vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 0.98 – 1.65
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Fulham vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win beats it.
- 73%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Fulham 0-1 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Fulham
Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Craven Cottage, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Craven Cottage, so Fulham will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Fulham vs Arsenal
Fulham take on Arsenal in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (0.98 for Fulham, 1.65 for Arsenal) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 53% for Arsenal. Fulham's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Fulham and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Fulham play 4 days after their game at home to Brighton on 26 Dec. After this, they go away at Forest 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
Arsenal play 3 days after their game away at Palace on 27 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Ipswich 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 26 DecFulham vs BrightonCraven Cottage
- 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
- 30 DecFulham vs ArsenalCraven Cottage
- 02 JanForest vs FulhamCity Ground
- 02 JanArsenal vs IpswichEmirates Stadium
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FAQ · 8
Fulham vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Fulham 22%, the draw 25% and Arsenal 53%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Fulham vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Fulham 4.55, draw 4.00, Arsenal 1.89. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Fulham vs Arsenal kick off in India?
01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 (19:30 UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Fulham vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Fulham 22%, draw 25%, Arsenal 53%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Fulham win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Fulham 22%.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Arsenal?
2.6 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
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Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.