Premier League · London derby
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction
00:30
India time
Sun, 27 Dec 2026 · 19:00 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.27
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 44%, draw 26%, Palace 30%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Palace vs Arsenal?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model gives Palace 30%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 44%, and expects 2.5 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 00:30 IST, next day at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Palace's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (46% for the over).
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Palace vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 1.42
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Palace win loses.
- 75%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 0-1 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact at Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Selhurst Park, so Palace will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Arsenal
Crystal Palace take on Arsenal in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.12 for Palace, 1.42 for Arsenal) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 44% for Arsenal. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Palace and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 8 days after their game away at Sunderland on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Bournemouth 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Fulham 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Palace 30%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 44%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Palace 3.33, draw 3.85, Arsenal 2.27. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Arsenal kick off in India?
00:30 IST, next day India time on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 (19:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Palace 30%, draw 26%, Arsenal 44%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Palace vs Arsenal?
2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 8% of the time.
Will both teams score in Palace vs Arsenal?
We put both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.