Premier League 2026/27
Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
01:00
India time
Wed, 30 Dec 2026 · 19:30 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.82
In 30 seconds
- Palace 55%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 22%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Palace vs Bournemouth?
Back Palace. Wazir Win makes them 55% to beat Bournemouth, projects 1.80 to 1.03 in expected goals and calls the score 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 54%. Kick-off: Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 01:00 IST, next day at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Palace
Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Palace
Palace rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Palace vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.80 – 1.03
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 72%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Palace
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Bournemouth win beats it.
- 54%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 1-0 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Bournemouth score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth head to Selhurst Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a slight lean. We project 1.80 expected goals for Palace and 1.03 for Bournemouth; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Palace win 55% of them. For Bournemouth, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Palace and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 3 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 27 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Brentford 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
Bournemouth play 4 days after their game away at Spurs on 26 Dec. After this, they go at home to Villa 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
They meet again at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 55%, the draw 23% and Bournemouth 22%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Palace 1.82, draw 4.35, Bournemouth 4.55. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 (19:30 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 55%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 22%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Palace vs Bournemouth?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Bournemouth win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Bournemouth 22%.
How many goals are expected in Palace vs Bournemouth?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.