Premier League 2026/27
Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.75
In 30 seconds
- Spurs 57%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 52%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Spurs
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Clear lean: Tottenham Hotspur. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 57% to win (fair odds 1.75), with the draw at 23%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Spurs
Spurs are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Spurs
Spurs rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.83 – 0.97
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Spurs vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Spurs
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Bournemouth win beats it.
- 53%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Spurs 1-0 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Expect Bournemouth to stay compact on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Spurs name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Bournemouth score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Spurs vs Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur take on AFC Bournemouth in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Spurs's way. The gap in expected goals (1.83 for Spurs, 0.97 for Bournemouth) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 57% for Spurs. Bournemouth's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Spurs and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Brighton 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Palace 4 days after this one. League game 17 of 38.
They meet again at Vitality Stadium on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
- 19 DecBournemouth vs CoventryVitality Stadium
- 26 DecSpurs vs BournemouthTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 29 DecSpurs vs BrightonTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst Park
More Spurs and Bournemouth dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts Tottenham Hotspur. Our goals model gives Spurs 57%, the draw 23% and Bournemouth 20%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Spurs vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Spurs 1.75, draw 4.35, Bournemouth 5.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Spurs vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 57%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 20%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Bournemouth win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Bournemouth 20%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Spurs vs Bournemouth?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.