Premier League · London derby
Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 02 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Gtech Community Stadium, London
Draw 27%
Fair odds for the pick 2.63
In 30 seconds
- Brentford 38%, draw 27%, Palace 35%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; a low-scoring game expected (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Brentford
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Brentford vs Palace?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Brentford. The Wazir Win goals model gives Brentford 38%, the draw 27% and Palace 35%, and expects 2.5 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Gtech Community Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Brentford
Brentford are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Few goals
Only 2.5 expected goals, so the under is the natural lean: over 2.5 lands just 45% of the time.
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Brentford vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.28 – 1.20
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Brentford vs Palace
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 65%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Brentford or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Palace win loses.
- 76%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Brentford 1-0 Palace
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Brentford
Expect Brentford to stay compact at Gtech Community Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact on their trip to Gtech Community Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Brentford name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Brentford vs Palace
Brentford take on Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Brentford's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.28 for Brentford, 1.20 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 38% for Brentford. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Brentford and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Brentford play 3 days after their game away at Coventry on 30 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Arsenal 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 19 of 38.
Palace play 3 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 30 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 4 days after this one. League game 19 of 38.
They meet again at Selhurst Park on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 30 DecCoventry vs BrentfordCoventry Building Society Arena
- 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst Park
- 02 JanBrentford vs PalaceGtech Community Stadium
- 05 JanArsenal vs BrentfordEmirates Stadium
- 06 JanPalace vs ChelseaSelhurst Park
More Brentford and Palace dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Brentford vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Palace?
Wazir Win predicts Brentford. Our goals model gives Brentford 38%, the draw 27% and Palace 35%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Brentford vs Palace?
On our numbers: Brentford 2.63, draw 3.70, Palace 2.86. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Brentford vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Gtech Community Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Brentford vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Brentford aage hain: Brentford 38%, draw 27%, Palace 35%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
What would make Palace win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Brentford's attack. We give Palace 35%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Palace?
We put both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.