Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 16%
Fair odds for the pick 1.33
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 75%, draw 16%, Palace 9%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 47%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Palace?
Liverpool are our pick for Liverpool vs Palace, at 75% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 2-0, both teams score in 47% of simulations, and the draw sits at 16%. Kick-off is Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 61% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Expected goals
- 2.42 – 0.72
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Palace
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 89%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Palace win beats it.
- 61%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 2-0 Palace
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Palace will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact on their trip to Anfield and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Palace
Liverpool take on Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (2.42 for Liverpool, 0.72 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 75% for Liverpool. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 11 days after their game away at Sunderland on 05 Jan. After this, they go away at Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
Palace play 10 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 06 Jan. After this, they go at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
These sides already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 08 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Liverpool and Palace dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Palace?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 75%, the draw 16% and Palace 9%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Palace?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.33, draw 6.25, Palace 11.11. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 75%, draw 16%, Palace 9%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Palace?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Palace?
We put both teams to score at 47%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 61%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Palace?
3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 3, and a goalless draw comes up 4% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.