Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Liverpool prediction
01:45
India time
Tue, 05 Jan 2027 · 20:15 UK
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Draw 19%
Fair odds for the pick 1.52
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 66%, draw 19%, Sunderland 15%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are our pick for Sunderland vs Liverpool, at 66% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-2, both teams score in 54% of simulations, and the draw sits at 19%. Kick-off is Tue, 05 Jan 2027, 01:45 IST, next day.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Sunderland's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Liverpool's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 60% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 0.92 – 2.20
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 82%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Sunderland 0-2 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Liverpool
Liverpool are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Stadium of Light and pin Sunderland back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Sunderland vs Liverpool
Liverpool head to Stadium of Light for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 0.92 expected goals for Sunderland and 2.20 for Liverpool; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Liverpool win 66% of them. For Sunderland, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Sunderland and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Sunderland play 3 days after their game at home to Hull on 02 Jan, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Chelsea 11 days after this one. League game 20 of 38.
Liverpool play 3 days after their game at home to Coventry on 02 Jan, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Palace 11 days after this one. League game 20 of 38.
These sides already met at Anfield on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 02 JanSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
- 02 JanLiverpool vs CoventryAnfield
- 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light
- 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandStamford Bridge
- 16 JanLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
More Sunderland and Liverpool dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Sunderland vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Sunderland 15%, the draw 19% and Liverpool 66%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-2 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Sunderland 6.67, draw 5.26, Liverpool 1.52. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Sunderland vs Liverpool kick off in India?
01:45 IST, next day India time on Tue, 05 Jan 2027 (20:15 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Sunderland vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Sunderland 15%, draw 19%, Liverpool 66%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Sunderland 15%.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Liverpool?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Liverpool?
We put both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.