Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Hull City prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
61%Our pick
Sunderland
Clear lean

20:30

India time

Sat, 02 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Draw 22%

Fair odds for the pick 1.64

17%Win chance
Hull City

In 30 seconds

  1. Sunderland 61%, draw 22%, Hull 17%: a clear lean.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 50%.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Sunderland vs Hull?

Back Sunderland. Wazir Win makes them 61% to beat Hull, projects 1.89 to 0.90 in expected goals and calls the score 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 53%. Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Stadium of Light.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Sunderland vs Hull?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.90
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Hull

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    78%

    Draw no bet

    Sunderland

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    53%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    12%

    Correct score

    Sunderland 1-0 Hull

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to stay compact at Stadium of Light and look for a moment rather than control the game.

Away · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding on their trip to Stadium of Light. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Sunderland vs Hull

Sunderland take on Hull City in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Sunderland's way. The gap in expected goals (1.89 for Sunderland, 0.90 for Hull) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 61% for Sunderland. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Sunderland and Hull

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 3 days after their game away at Man Utd on 30 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Liverpool 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 19 of 38.

Hull play 4 days after their game at home to Leeds on 29 Dec. After this, they go away at Forest 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 19 of 38.

They meet again at MKM Stadium on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  2. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford
  3. 02 JanSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
  4. 05 JanForest vs HullCity Ground
  5. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light
  1. 10 FebHull City vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  2. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolPremier League · 01:45 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  3. 16 JanChelsea vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 05 JanNottingham Forest vs Hull CityPremier League · 01:00 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  5. 16 JanHull City vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 02 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 18:00 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Sunderland vs Hull City: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Hull?

Wazir Win predicts Sunderland. Our goals model gives Sunderland 61%, the draw 22% and Hull 17%, which we class as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Hull?

On our numbers: Sunderland 1.64, draw 4.55, Hull 5.88. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Sunderland vs Hull mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Sunderland 61%, draw 22%, Hull 17%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull?

We put both teams to score at 50%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.