Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Arsenal prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 18%
Fair odds for the pick 1.45
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 69%, draw 18%, Hull 13%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2; goals expected (3.3 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Arsenal?
Strong lean: Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 69% to win (fair odds 1.45), with the draw at 18%. We expect 3.3 goals and a 0-2 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at MKM Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.3 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 64% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 18%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Expected goals
- 0.93 – 2.36
- Half-time call
- 0-1
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 84%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 0-2 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding at MKM Stadium. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
Away
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to MKM Stadium, so Hull will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Arsenal
Hull City take on Arsenal in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (0.93 for Hull, 2.36 for Arsenal) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 69% for Arsenal. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Hull and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 11 days after their game away at Forest on 05 Jan. After this, they go away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
Arsenal play 11 days after their game at home to Brentford on 05 Jan. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
These sides already met at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 07 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Hull and Arsenal dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Hull 13%, the draw 18% and Arsenal 69%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-2 (half-time 0-1). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 10%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Hull 7.69, draw 5.56, Arsenal 1.45. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Arsenal kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Hull 13%, draw 18%, Arsenal 69%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Hull win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Hull 13%.
Where can I watch Hull vs Arsenal?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Arsenal?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.