Premier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Crystal Palace prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
25%Win chance
Hull City
Coin flip

20:30

India time

Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK

MKM Stadium, Hull

Draw 24%

Fair odds for the pick 1.96

51%Our pick
Crystal Palace

In 30 seconds

  1. Palace 51%, draw 24%, Hull 25%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 0-1; goals expected (2.9 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 56%.
Predicted score
0-1
Wazir Win pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Hull vs Palace?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Palace. The Wazir Win goals model gives Hull 25%, the draw 24% and Palace 51%, and expects 2.9 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at MKM Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Even

    Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Palace's quality advantage.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Palace

    Palace rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Hull vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.73
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Palace

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    67%

    Draw no bet

    Palace

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    56%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    10%

    Correct score

    Hull 0-1 Palace

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Hull City

Hull are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape at MKM Stadium, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.

Away

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to MKM Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Hull score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Hull vs Palace

Crystal Palace head to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.15 expected goals for Hull and 1.73 for Palace; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Palace win 51% of them. For Hull, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar check: Hull and Palace

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Hull play 7 days after their game away at Ipswich on 23 Jan. After this, they go away at Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.

Palace play 7 days after their game at home to Spurs on 23 Jan. After this, they go at home to Coventry 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.

These sides already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 23 JanIpswich vs HullPortman Road
  2. 23 JanPalace vs SpursSelhurst Park
  3. 30 JanHull vs PalaceMKM Stadium
  4. 06 FebBrighton vs HullAmerican Express Stadium
  5. 06 FebPalace vs CoventrySelhurst Park
  1. 29 NovCrystal Palace vs Hull CityPremier League · 19:35 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 06 FebBrighton & Hove Albion vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 10 FebHull City vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  4. 06 FebCrystal Palace vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 10 FebCrystal Palace vs BrentfordPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  6. 30 JanAFC Bournemouth vs FulhamPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Hull City vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Hull vs Palace?

Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Hull 25%, the draw 24% and Palace 51%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Crystal Palace?

Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are fair odds for Hull vs Palace?

On our numbers: Hull 4.00, draw 4.17, Palace 1.96. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Hull City vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Hull vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Hull 25%, draw 24%, Palace 51%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Hull vs Palace?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Palace?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.

What would make Hull win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Hull 25%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.