Premier League · London derby

Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
55%Our pick
Crystal Palace
Slight lean

01:30

India time

Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 UK

Selhurst Park, London

Draw 25%

Fair odds for the pick 1.82

20%Win chance
Brentford

In 30 seconds

  1. Palace 55%, draw 25%, Brentford 20%: a slight lean.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; a low-scoring game expected (2.5 xG).
  3. It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Who wins Palace vs Brentford?

Back Palace. Wazir Win makes them 55% to beat Brentford, projects 1.62 to 0.85 in expected goals and calls the score 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Kick-off: Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day at Selhurst Park.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Palace

    Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Few goals

    Only 2.5 expected goals, so the under is the natural lean: over 2.5 lands just 45% of the time.

  3. Derby heat

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.

How many goals in Palace vs Brentford?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.85
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Brentford

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    74%

    Draw no bet

    Palace

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Brentford win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    76%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    14%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0 Brentford

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to stay compact at Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.

Away

Brentford

Expect Brentford to stay compact on their trip to Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Brentford score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Palace vs Brentford

Crystal Palace take on Brentford in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Palace's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.62 for Palace, 0.85 for Brentford) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 55% for Palace. Brentford's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Palace and Brentford

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 4 days after their game at home to Coventry on 06 Feb. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

Brentford play 4 days after their game away at Forest on 06 Feb. After this, they go at home to Coventry 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

These sides already met at Gtech Community Stadium on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, making this the return fixture.

  1. 06 FebPalace vs CoventrySelhurst Park
  2. 06 FebForest vs BrentfordCity Ground
  3. 10 FebPalace vs BrentfordSelhurst Park
  4. 20 FebBournemouth vs PalaceVitality Stadium
  5. 20 FebBrentford vs CoventryGtech Community Stadium
  1. 02 JanBrentford vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 20 FebBrentford vs Coventry CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 27 FebNewcastle United vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Crystal Palace vs Brentford: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Palace vs Brentford?

Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 55%, the draw 25% and Brentford 20%, which we class as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 14%.

What are fair odds for Palace vs Brentford?

On our numbers: Palace 1.82, draw 4.00, Brentford 5.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Brentford kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Palace vs Brentford mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 55%, draw 25%, Brentford 20%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Brentford?

2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 9% of the time.

What would make Brentford win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Brentford 20%.

Where can I watch Palace vs Brentford?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.