Premier League 2026/27
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.33
In 30 seconds
- Bournemouth 43%, draw 25%, Palace 32%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Bournemouth
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Bournemouth vs Palace?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Bournemouth. The Wazir Win goals model gives Bournemouth 43%, the draw 25% and Palace 32%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Vitality Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Bournemouth
Bournemouth are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Bournemouth
Bournemouth rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Bournemouth vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.25
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Bournemouth vs Palace
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Palace win loses.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Bournemouth 1-0 Palace
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Crystal Palace
Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Bournemouth name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Bournemouth vs Palace
Crystal Palace head to Vitality Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.50 expected goals for Bournemouth and 1.25 for Palace; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Bournemouth win 43% of them. For Palace, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Bournemouth and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Bournemouth play 10 days after their game away at Villa on 10 Feb. After this, they go away at Coventry 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.
Palace play 10 days after their game at home to Brentford on 10 Feb. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.
These sides already met at Selhurst Park on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Bournemouth and Palace dossiers
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FAQ · 8
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Bournemouth vs Palace?
Wazir Win predicts AFC Bournemouth. Our goals model gives Bournemouth 43%, the draw 25% and Palace 32%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Bournemouth vs Palace?
On our numbers: Bournemouth 2.33, draw 4.00, Palace 3.13. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Bournemouth vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Bournemouth 43%, draw 25%, Palace 32%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Palace?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
What would make Palace win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Bournemouth's attack. We give Palace 32%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.