Premier League 2026/27
AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.85
In 30 seconds
- Bournemouth 54%, draw 24%, Fulham 22%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 51%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Bournemouth
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Slight lean: AFC Bournemouth. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 54% to win (fair odds 1.85), with the draw at 24%. We expect 2.7 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Vitality Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Bournemouth
Bournemouth are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Bournemouth
Bournemouth rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.71 – 0.99
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Bournemouth vs Fulham
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 71%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Bournemouth
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win beats it.
- 71%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Fulham
Expect Fulham to stay compact on their trip to Vitality Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Bournemouth name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Bournemouth vs Fulham
Fulham head to Vitality Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a slight lean. We project 1.71 expected goals for Bournemouth and 0.99 for Fulham; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Bournemouth win 54% of them. For Fulham, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Bournemouth and Fulham
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game away at Forest on 23 Jan. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
Fulham play 7 days after their game at home to Villa on 23 Jan. After this, they go at home to Man City 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
These sides already met at Craven Cottage on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 23 JanForest vs BournemouthCity Ground
- 23 JanFulham vs VillaCraven Cottage
- 30 JanBournemouth vs FulhamVitality Stadium
- 06 FebLeeds vs BournemouthElland Road
- 06 FebFulham vs Man CityCraven Cottage
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FAQ · 8
AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Wazir Win predicts AFC Bournemouth. Our goals model gives Bournemouth 54%, the draw 24% and Fulham 22%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Bournemouth vs Fulham?
On our numbers: Bournemouth 1.85, draw 4.17, Fulham 4.55. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Bournemouth vs Fulham mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Bournemouth 54%, draw 24%, Fulham 22%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Fulham?
We put both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Fulham?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
What would make Fulham win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Bournemouth's attack. We give Fulham 22%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.