Premier League 2026/27
Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
City Ground, Nottingham
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.96
In 30 seconds
- Forest 51%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 25%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Forest
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Forest vs Bournemouth?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Forest. The Wazir Win goals model gives Forest 51%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 25%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at City Ground.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Forest
Forest are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Forest
Forest rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Forest vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.67 – 1.08
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Forest vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Forest
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Bournemouth win beats it.
- 52%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Forest 1-0 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Nottingham Forest
Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to City Ground, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Forest name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Bournemouth score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Forest vs Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth head to City Ground for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.67 expected goals for Forest and 1.08 for Bournemouth; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Forest win 51% of them. For Bournemouth, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Forest and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Forest play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Chelsea 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Fulham 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
These sides already met at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 21 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
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FAQ · 8
Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Forest vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts Nottingham Forest. Our goals model gives Forest 51%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 25%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Forest vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Forest 1.96, draw 4.17, Bournemouth 4.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Forest vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Nottingham Forest aage hain: Forest 51%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 25%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
What would make Bournemouth win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Forest's attack. We give Bournemouth 25%.
How many goals are expected in Forest vs Bournemouth?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.