Premier League 2026/27

Everton vs Brentford prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
45%Our pick
Everton
Coin flip

20:30

India time

Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK

Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Draw 25%

Fair odds for the pick 2.22

30%Win chance
Brentford

In 30 seconds

  1. Everton 45%, draw 25%, Brentford 30%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 55%.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Everton
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Everton vs Brentford?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Everton. The Wazir Win goals model gives Everton 45%, the draw 25% and Brentford 30%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Everton

    Everton are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Everton

    Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Everton vs Brentford?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.19
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Brentford

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    60%

    Draw no bet

    Everton

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Brentford win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    55%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    10%

    Correct score

    Everton 1-0 Brentford

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.

Away

Brentford

Expect Brentford to stay compact on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Everton name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Brentford score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Everton vs Brentford

Everton take on Brentford in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Everton's way. The gap in expected goals (1.53 for Everton, 1.19 for Brentford) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 45% for Everton. Brentford's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Everton and Brentford

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Everton play 7 days after their game away at Coventry on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Liverpool 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

Brentford play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.

These sides already met at Gtech Community Stadium on Mon, 23 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanCoventry vs EvertonCoventry Building Society Arena
  2. 16 JanBrentford vs BrightonGtech Community Stadium
  3. 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
  5. 30 JanBrentford vs Man UtdGtech Community Stadium
  1. 23 NovBrentford vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  2. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 06 FebEverton vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 30 JanBrentford vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 06 FebNottingham Forest vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 23 JanArsenal vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Everton vs Brentford: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Everton vs Brentford?

Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Everton 45%, the draw 25% and Brentford 30%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Brentford?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Everton vs Brentford?

On our numbers: Everton 2.22, draw 4.00, Brentford 3.33. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Everton vs Brentford kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Everton vs Brentford mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 45%, draw 25%, Brentford 30%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Brentford?

2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.

Where can I watch Everton vs Brentford?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.