Premier League · London derby
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 27%
Fair odds for the pick 2.33
In 30 seconds
- Palace 43%, draw 27%, Spurs 30%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; a low-scoring game expected (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Palace vs Spurs?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Palace. The Wazir Win goals model gives Palace 43%, the draw 27% and Spurs 30%, and expects 2.5 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Palace
Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Few goals
Only 2.5 expected goals, so the under is the natural lean: over 2.5 lands just 44% of the time.
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Palace vs Spurs?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 1.09
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Spurs
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Palace or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Spurs win loses.
- 77%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 1-0 Spurs
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact at Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Selhurst Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Spurs score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Spurs
Crystal Palace take on Tottenham Hotspur in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Palace's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.37 for Palace, 1.09 for Spurs) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 43% for Palace. Spurs's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Palace and Spurs
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Hull 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
Spurs play 7 days after their game at home to Leeds on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
These sides already met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Palace and Spurs dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Spurs?
Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 43%, the draw 27% and Spurs 30%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Spurs?
On our numbers: Palace 2.33, draw 3.70, Spurs 3.33. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Spurs mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 43%, draw 27%, Spurs 30%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Palace vs Spurs?
2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 9% of the time.
Where can I watch Palace vs Spurs?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Palace vs Spurs?
We put both teams to score at 49%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 44%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.