Premier League 2026/27
Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Draw 18%
Fair odds for the pick 1.43
In 30 seconds
- Spurs 70%, draw 18%, Sunderland 12%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.0 xG).
- Both teams to score: 48%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Spurs
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Spurs vs Sunderland?
Back Spurs. Wazir Win makes them 70% to beat Sunderland, projects 2.22 to 0.77 in expected goals and calls the score 2-0. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Spurs
Spurs are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 58% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Spurs
Spurs rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 18%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Spurs vs Sunderland?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 2.22 – 0.77
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Spurs vs Sunderland
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 86%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Spurs
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Spurs 2-0 Sunderland
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Well organised and hard to play through, Spurs usually earn results at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium by winning the midfield battle.
Away
Sunderland
Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Spurs name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Spurs vs Sunderland
Sunderland head to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 2.22 expected goals for Spurs and 0.77 for Sunderland; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Spurs win 70% of them. For Sunderland, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Spurs and Sunderland
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 23 Jan. After this, they go away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 23 Jan. After this, they go at home to Villa 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
These sides already met at Stadium of Light on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 23 JanPalace vs SpursSelhurst Park
- 23 JanSunderland vs CoventryStadium of Light
- 30 JanSpurs vs SunderlandTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 06 FebIpswich vs SpursPortman Road
- 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
More Spurs and Sunderland dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Spurs vs Sunderland?
Wazir Win predicts Tottenham Hotspur. Our goals model gives Spurs 70%, the draw 18% and Sunderland 12%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Spurs vs Sunderland?
On our numbers: Spurs 1.43, draw 5.56, Sunderland 8.33. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Spurs vs Sunderland mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 70%, draw 18%, Sunderland 12%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Sunderland 12%.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Sunderland?
We put both teams to score at 48%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 58%.
How many goals are expected in Spurs vs Sunderland?
3.0 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.