Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Aston Villa prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.08
In 30 seconds
- Villa 48%, draw 25%, Sunderland 27%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Sunderland vs Villa?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Villa. The Wazir Win goals model gives Sunderland 27%, the draw 25% and Villa 48%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Stadium of Light.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Sunderland's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Villa's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Sunderland vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.16 – 1.63
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Villa
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 64%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Villa
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Sunderland 0-1 Villa
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Aston Villa
Well organised and hard to play through, Villa usually earn results on their trip to Stadium of Light by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Sunderland vs Villa
Aston Villa head to Stadium of Light for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.16 expected goals for Sunderland and 1.63 for Villa; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Villa win 48% of them. For Sunderland, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Sunderland and Villa
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 30 Jan. After this, they go away at Hull 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 30 Jan. After this, they go at home to Bournemouth 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
These sides already met at Villa Park on Sat, 21 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 30 JanSpurs vs SunderlandTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 30 JanVilla vs IpswichVilla Park
- 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
- 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
- 10 FebVilla vs BournemouthVilla Park
More Sunderland and Villa dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Sunderland vs Aston Villa: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Villa?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Sunderland 27%, the draw 25% and Villa 48%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Villa?
On our numbers: Sunderland 3.70, draw 4.00, Villa 2.08. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Sunderland vs Aston Villa kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Sunderland vs Villa mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Sunderland 27%, draw 25%, Villa 48%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Villa?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Villa?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.