Premier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Sunderland prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
40%Our pick
Hull City
Coin flip

01:30

India time

Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 UK

MKM Stadium, Hull

Draw 26%

Fair odds for the pick 2.50

34%Win chance
Sunderland

In 30 seconds

  1. Hull 40%, draw 26%, Sunderland 34%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 54%.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Hull
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Hull vs Sunderland?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Hull. The Wazir Win goals model gives Hull 40%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 34%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day at MKM Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Hull

    Hull are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (50% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Hull

    Hull rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Hull vs Sunderland?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.27
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Sunderland

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    66%

    Double chance

    Hull or draw

    Covers two of the three results; only a Sunderland win loses.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    72%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    10%

    Correct score

    Hull 1-0 Sunderland

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home · promoted

Hull City

As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding at MKM Stadium. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.

Away

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to stay compact on their trip to MKM Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Hull name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Hull vs Sunderland

Hull City take on Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Hull's way. The gap in expected goals (1.40 for Hull, 1.27 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 40% for Hull. Sunderland's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Hull and Sunderland

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Hull play 4 days after their game away at Brighton on 06 Feb. After this, they go away at Liverpool 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

Sunderland play 4 days after their game at home to Villa on 06 Feb. After this, they go at home to Everton 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.

These sides already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, making this the return fixture.

  1. 06 FebBrighton vs HullAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
  3. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  4. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  5. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light
  1. 02 JanSunderland vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 20 FebLiverpool vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 27 FebHull City vs Manchester CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Hull City vs Sunderland: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Hull vs Sunderland?

Wazir Win predicts Hull City. Our goals model gives Hull 40%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 34%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Hull vs Sunderland?

On our numbers: Hull 2.50, draw 3.85, Sunderland 2.94. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Hull City vs Sunderland kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Hull vs Sunderland mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Hull City aage hain: Hull 40%, draw 26%, Sunderland 34%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

What would make Sunderland win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Hull's attack. We give Sunderland 34%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Sunderland?

2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.