Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Everton prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
45%Our pick
Sunderland
Coin flip

20:30

India time

Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Draw 25%

Fair odds for the pick 2.22

30%Win chance
Everton

In 30 seconds

  1. Sunderland 45%, draw 25%, Everton 30%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 55%.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Sunderland vs Everton?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Sunderland. The Wazir Win goals model gives Sunderland 45%, the draw 25% and Everton 30%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Stadium of Light.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Sunderland

    Sunderland rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Sunderland vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.21
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Everton

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    59%

    Draw no bet

    Sunderland

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    55%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    10%

    Correct score

    Sunderland 1-0 Everton

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Expect Sunderland to stay compact at Stadium of Light and look for a moment rather than control the game.

Away

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dominate.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Everton score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Sunderland vs Everton

Sunderland take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Sunderland's way. The gap in expected goals (1.52 for Sunderland, 1.21 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 45% for Sunderland. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Sunderland and Everton

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 10 days after their game away at Hull on 10 Feb. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

Everton play 10 days after their game at home to Leeds on 10 Feb. After this, they go at home to Forest 7 days after this one. League game 26 of 38.

These sides already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  2. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light
  4. 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park
  5. 27 FebEverton vs ForestHill Dickinson Stadium
  1. 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 27 FebCrystal Palace vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 03 MarSunderland vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  4. 27 FebEverton vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 03 MarManchester City vs EvertonPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  6. 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Sunderland vs Everton: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Everton?

Wazir Win predicts Sunderland. Our goals model gives Sunderland 45%, the draw 25% and Everton 30%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Everton?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Everton?

On our numbers: Sunderland 2.22, draw 4.00, Everton 3.33. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Everton kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Sunderland vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Sunderland 45%, draw 25%, Everton 30%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Everton?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Everton?

We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.

What would make Everton win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Sunderland's attack. We give Everton 30%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.