Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Sunderland prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.75
In 30 seconds
- Everton 57%, draw 23%, Sunderland 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 51%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Sunderland?
Clear lean: Everton. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 57% to win (fair odds 1.75), with the draw at 23%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Everton
Everton are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Sunderland?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.79 – 0.96
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Sunderland
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Everton
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 52%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 1-0 Sunderland
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Sunderland
Expect Sunderland to stay compact on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Sunderland
Everton take on Sunderland in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Everton's way. The gap in expected goals (1.79 for Everton, 0.96 for Sunderland) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 57% for Everton. Sunderland's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Sunderland
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 7 days after their game away at Forest on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Man City 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Palace on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Man Utd 4 days after this one. League game 17 of 38.
They meet again at Stadium of Light on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 19 DecForest vs EvertonCity Ground
- 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
- 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
- 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
- 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford
More Everton and Sunderland dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Sunderland: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Sunderland?
Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Everton 57%, the draw 23% and Sunderland 20%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Sunderland?
On our numbers: Everton 1.75, draw 4.35, Sunderland 5.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Sunderland kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Sunderland mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 57%, draw 23%, Sunderland 20%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Sunderland 20%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Sunderland?
We put both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.