Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Manchester City prediction
01:45
India time
Tue, 29 Dec 2026 · 20:15 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 22%
Fair odds for the pick 1.72
In 30 seconds
- Man City 58%, draw 22%, Everton 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; goals expected (3.0 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Man City
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Man City?
Clear lean: Manchester City. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 58% to win (fair odds 1.72), with the draw at 22%. We expect 3.0 goals and a 0-1 scoreline. Kick-off: Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 01:45 IST, next day at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Everton's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Man City's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 57% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Man City
Man City rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Man City?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 1.03 – 1.93
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Man City
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 75%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Man City
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Man City
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Manchester City
Man City are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium and pin Everton back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Man City name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Man City
Everton take on Manchester City in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Man City's way. The gap in expected goals (1.03 for Everton, 1.93 for Man City) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 58% for Man City. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Man City
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 3 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 26 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Leeds 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
Man City play 3 days after their game away at Newcastle on 26 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Spurs 5 days after this one. League game 18 of 38.
They meet again at Etihad Stadium on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
- 26 DecNewcastle vs Man CitySt James' Park
- 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
- 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland Road
- 03 JanMan City vs SpursEtihad Stadium
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Manchester City: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Man City?
Wazir Win predicts Manchester City. Our goals model gives Everton 20%, the draw 22% and Man City 58%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Manchester City?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 10%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Man City?
On our numbers: Everton 5.00, draw 4.55, Man City 1.72. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Manchester City kick off in India?
01:45 IST, next day India time on Tue, 29 Dec 2026 (20:15 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Man City mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Manchester City aage hain: Everton 20%, draw 22%, Man City 58%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Man City?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Where can I watch Everton vs Man City?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Man City's attack. We give Everton 20%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.