Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Everton prediction
01:30
India time
Fri, 01 Jan 2027 · 20:00 UK
Elland Road, Leeds
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.22
In 30 seconds
- Leeds 45%, draw 25%, Everton 30%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Leeds
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Leeds vs Everton?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Leeds. The Wazir Win goals model gives Leeds 45%, the draw 25% and Everton 30%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Fri, 01 Jan 2027, 01:30 IST, next day at Elland Road.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Leeds
Leeds are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (50% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Leeds
Leeds rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Leeds vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.51 – 1.18
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Leeds vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 60%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Leeds
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 72%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Leeds 1-0 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Leeds are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Elland Road, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Everton
Expect Everton to stay compact on their trip to Elland Road and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Leeds name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Leeds vs Everton
Everton head to Elland Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.51 expected goals for Leeds and 1.18 for Everton; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Leeds win 45% of them. For Everton, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Leeds and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Leeds play 3 days after their game away at Hull on 29 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Man City 5 days after this one. League game 19 of 38.
Everton play 3 days after their game at home to Man City on 29 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Villa 4 days after this one. League game 19 of 38.
They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
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FAQ · 8
Leeds United vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Leeds United. Our goals model gives Leeds 45%, the draw 25% and Everton 30%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Leeds vs Everton?
On our numbers: Leeds 2.22, draw 4.00, Everton 3.33. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Leeds United vs Everton kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Fri, 01 Jan 2027 (20:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Leeds vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Leeds United aage hain: Leeds 45%, draw 25%, Everton 30%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Everton?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Everton?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Leeds's attack. We give Everton 30%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.