Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Aston Villa prediction
01:00
India time
Tue, 05 Jan 2027 · 19:30 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.44
In 30 seconds
- Villa 41%, draw 26%, Everton 33%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Villa?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Villa. The Wazir Win goals model gives Everton 33%, the draw 26% and Villa 41%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Tue, 05 Jan 2027, 01:00 IST, next day at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Everton's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Villa's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (50% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.25 – 1.44
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Villa
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 67%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Villa or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Everton win loses.
- 72%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Villa
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Villa
Everton take on Aston Villa in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Villa's way. The gap in expected goals (1.25 for Everton, 1.44 for Villa) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 41% for Villa. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Villa
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 4 days after their game away at Leeds on 01 Jan. After this, they go away at Coventry 11 days after this one. League game 20 of 38.
Villa play 3 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 02 Jan, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Man Utd 11 days after this one. League game 20 of 38.
These sides already met at Villa Park on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland Road
- 02 JanBournemouth vs VillaVitality Stadium
- 05 JanEverton vs VillaHill Dickinson Stadium
- 16 JanCoventry vs EvertonCoventry Building Society Arena
- 16 JanVilla vs Man UtdVilla Park
More Everton and Villa dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Aston Villa: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Villa?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Everton 33%, the draw 26% and Villa 41%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Aston Villa?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Villa?
On our numbers: Everton 3.03, draw 3.85, Villa 2.44. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Aston Villa kick off in India?
01:00 IST, next day India time on Tue, 05 Jan 2027 (19:30 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Villa mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Everton 33%, draw 26%, Villa 41%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Villa's attack. We give Everton 33%.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Villa?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Where can I watch Everton vs Villa?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.