Premier League 2026/27
Fulham vs Aston Villa prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Craven Cottage, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.50
In 30 seconds
- Villa 40%, draw 26%, Fulham 34%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Fulham vs Villa?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Villa. The Wazir Win goals model gives Fulham 34%, the draw 26% and Villa 40%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Craven Cottage.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Fulham's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Villa's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Fulham vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.28 – 1.42
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Fulham vs Villa
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 66%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Villa or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Fulham win loses.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Fulham 0-1 Villa
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Fulham
Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Craven Cottage, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Craven Cottage. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Fulham vs Villa
Fulham take on Aston Villa in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Villa's way. The gap in expected goals (1.28 for Fulham, 1.42 for Villa) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 40% for Villa. Fulham's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Fulham and Villa
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Fulham play 7 days after their game away at Newcastle on 16 Jan. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 16 Jan. After this, they go at home to Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 22 of 38.
These sides already met at Villa Park on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Fulham and Villa dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Fulham vs Aston Villa: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Villa?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Fulham 34%, the draw 26% and Villa 40%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Aston Villa?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Fulham vs Villa?
On our numbers: Fulham 2.94, draw 3.85, Villa 2.50. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Fulham vs Aston Villa kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Craven Cottage in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Fulham vs Villa mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Fulham 34%, draw 26%, Villa 40%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Villa?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
What would make Fulham win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Villa's attack. We give Fulham 34%.
Where can I watch Fulham vs Villa?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.