Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Fulham prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
St James' Park, Newcastle
Draw 19%
Fair odds for the pick 1.43
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 70%, draw 19%, Fulham 11%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 46%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Newcastle vs Fulham?
Strong lean: Newcastle United. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 70% to win (fair odds 1.43), with the draw at 19%. We expect 2.9 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 16 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at St James' Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 55% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Fulham?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 2.16 – 0.73
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Newcastle vs Fulham
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 86%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Newcastle 2-0 Fulham
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at St James' Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
Fulham
Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to St James' Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Fulham score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Newcastle vs Fulham
Newcastle United take on Fulham in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (2.16 for Newcastle, 0.73 for Fulham) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 70% for Newcastle. Fulham's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Newcastle and Fulham
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Newcastle play 9 days after their game away at Man Utd on 07 Jan. After this, they go away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
Fulham play 10 days after their game at home to Spurs on 06 Jan. After this, they go at home to Villa 7 days after this one. League game 21 of 38.
These sides already met at Craven Cottage on Sat, 07 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 06 JanFulham vs SpursCraven Cottage
- 07 JanMan Utd vs NewcastleOld Trafford
- 16 JanNewcastle vs FulhamSt James' Park
- 23 JanArsenal vs NewcastleEmirates Stadium
- 23 JanFulham vs VillaCraven Cottage
More Newcastle and Fulham dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Newcastle United vs Fulham: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Newcastle vs Fulham?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Newcastle 70%, the draw 19% and Fulham 11%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Fulham?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Newcastle vs Fulham?
On our numbers: Newcastle 1.43, draw 5.26, Fulham 9.09. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Newcastle United vs Fulham kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Newcastle vs Fulham mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 70%, draw 19%, Fulham 11%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Fulham?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Fulham?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.