Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Leeds United prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.92
In 30 seconds
- Everton 52%, draw 24%, Leeds 24%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Leeds?
Everton are our pick for Everton vs Leeds, at 52% (slight lean). The model's likeliest result is 1-0, both teams score in 54% of simulations, and the draw sits at 24%. Kick-off is Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 01:30 IST, next day.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Everton
Everton are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.70 – 1.07
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Leeds
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Everton
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Leeds win beats it.
- 52%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 1-0 Leeds
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Expect Everton to stay compact at Hill Dickinson Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Leeds United
Leeds are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Leeds score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Leeds
Leeds United head to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a slight lean. We project 1.70 expected goals for Everton and 1.07 for Leeds; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Everton win 52% of them. For Leeds, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Everton and Leeds
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 4 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 06 Feb. After this, they go away at Sunderland 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.
Leeds play 4 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 06 Feb. After this, they go at home to Villa 10 days after this one. League game 25 of 38.
These sides already met at Elland Road on Fri, 01 Jan 2027, making this the return fixture.
- 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
- 06 FebLeeds vs BournemouthElland Road
- 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
- 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light
- 20 FebLeeds vs VillaElland Road
More Everton and Leeds dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Leeds United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Leeds?
Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Everton 52%, the draw 24% and Leeds 24%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Leeds United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Leeds?
On our numbers: Everton 1.92, draw 4.17, Leeds 4.17. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Leeds United kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 10 Feb 2027 (20:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Leeds mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 52%, draw 24%, Leeds 24%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Leeds win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Leeds 24%.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Leeds?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Where can I watch Everton vs Leeds?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.