Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Newcastle United prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 2.04
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 49%, draw 24%, Everton 27%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Everton vs Newcastle?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Newcastle. The Wazir Win goals model gives Everton 27%, the draw 24% and Newcastle 49%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Everton's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Newcastle's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Everton vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.62
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Newcastle
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 65%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Newcastle
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Newcastle
Everton take on Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (1.14 for Everton, 1.62 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 49% for Newcastle. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Newcastle
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 30 Jan. After this, they go at home to Leeds 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 30 Jan. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
These sides already met at St James' Park on Mon, 02 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
- 30 JanNewcastle vs BrightonSt James' Park
- 06 FebEverton vs NewcastleHill Dickinson Stadium
- 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
- 10 FebNewcastle vs ChelseaSt James' Park
More Everton and Newcastle dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Everton vs Newcastle United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Newcastle?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Everton 27%, the draw 24% and Newcastle 49%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Newcastle United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Newcastle?
On our numbers: Everton 3.70, draw 4.17, Newcastle 2.04. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Newcastle United kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Newcastle mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Everton 27%, draw 24%, Newcastle 49%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Newcastle?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Newcastle?
We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.