Premier League · Merseyside derby
Liverpool vs Everton prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 14%
Fair odds for the pick 1.25
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 80%, draw 14%, Everton 6%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.0 xG).
- It is the Merseyside derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Everton?
Strong lean: Liverpool. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 80% to win (fair odds 1.25), with the draw at 14%. We expect 3.0 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 30 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST at Anfield.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 57% of the time in our simulations.
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The Merseyside derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 2.45 – 0.53
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 93%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 57%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 15%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 2-0 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Everton will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Anfield, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Everton
Liverpool take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. As the Merseyside derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (2.45 for Liverpool, 0.53 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 80% for Liverpool. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Man Utd on 23 Jan. After this, they go away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
Everton play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 23 Jan. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 23 of 38.
These sides already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sun, 29 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Liverpool and Everton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 80%, the draw 14% and Everton 6%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 15%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Everton?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.25, draw 7.14, Everton 16.67. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Everton kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 80%, draw 14%, Everton 6%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Everton?
We put both teams to score at 37%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 57%.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Everton 6%.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Everton?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.