Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 · 15:00 UK
Emirates Stadium, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.22
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 45%, draw 26%, Liverpool 29%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model gives Arsenal 45%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 29%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027, 20:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (50% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.16
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 61%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Liverpool win beats it.
- 72%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
Arsenal are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Emirates Stadium and pin Liverpool back for long periods.
Away
Liverpool
Liverpool are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Emirates Stadium and pin Arsenal back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Liverpool score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Arsenal vs Liverpool
Liverpool head to Emirates Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.50 expected goals for Arsenal and 1.16 for Liverpool; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Arsenal win 45% of them. For Liverpool, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Arsenal and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 30 Jan. After this, they go away at Ipswich 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Everton on 30 Jan. After this, they go away at Coventry 4 days after this one. League game 24 of 38.
These sides already met at Anfield on Sun, 01 Nov 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 30 JanMan City vs ArsenalEtihad Stadium
- 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield
- 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolEmirates Stadium
- 10 FebIpswich vs ArsenalPortman Road
- 10 FebCoventry vs LiverpoolCoventry Building Society Arena
More Arsenal and Liverpool dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Arsenal vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 45%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 29%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Arsenal 2.22, draw 3.85, Liverpool 3.45. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Arsenal vs Liverpool kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Arsenal vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 45%, draw 26%, Liverpool 29%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Liverpool win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Liverpool 29%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.