Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.27
In 30 seconds
- Palace 44%, draw 25%, Sunderland 31%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Sunderland vs Palace?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Palace. The Wazir Win goals model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 25% and Palace 44%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Stadium of Light.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Sunderland's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Palace's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Palace
Palace rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Sunderland vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.25 – 1.53
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Palace
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 69%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Palace or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Sunderland win loses.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Sunderland 0-1 Palace
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Expect Sunderland to stay compact at Stadium of Light and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact on their trip to Stadium of Light and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Sunderland vs Palace
Sunderland take on Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Palace's way. The gap in expected goals (1.25 for Sunderland, 1.53 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 44% for Palace. Sunderland's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Sunderland and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game at home to Forest on 12 Dec. After this, they go away at Everton 7 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
Palace play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 12 Dec. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 8 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
They meet again at Selhurst Park on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 12 DecSunderland vs ForestStadium of Light
- 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
- 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
- 26 DecEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
- 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
More Sunderland and Palace dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Palace?
Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 25% and Palace 44%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Palace?
On our numbers: Sunderland 3.23, draw 4.00, Palace 2.27. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Sunderland vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Sunderland vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Sunderland 31%, draw 25%, Palace 44%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Palace?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Palace?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Sunderland 31%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.