Premier League 2026/27
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.38
In 30 seconds
- Palace 42%, draw 26%, Man Utd 32%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.6 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Palace vs Man Utd?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Palace. The Wazir Win goals model gives Palace 42%, the draw 26% and Man Utd 32%, and expects 2.6 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Palace
Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (49% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Palace
Palace rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Palace vs Man Utd?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.21
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Man Utd
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Palace or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Man Utd win loses.
- 73%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 1-0 Man Utd
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact at Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Manchester United
Man Utd combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Selhurst Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Man Utd score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Man Utd
Crystal Palace take on Manchester United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Palace's way. The gap in expected goals (1.44 for Palace, 1.21 for Man Utd) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 42% for Palace. Man Utd's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Palace and Man Utd
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 7 days after their game away at Villa on 05 Dec. After this, they go away at Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
Man Utd play 7 days after their game at home to Coventry on 05 Dec. After this, they go away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
They meet again at Old Trafford on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
More Palace and Man Utd dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Man Utd?
Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 42%, the draw 26% and Man Utd 32%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Man Utd?
On our numbers: Palace 2.38, draw 3.85, Man Utd 3.13. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Manchester United kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Man Utd mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 42%, draw 26%, Man Utd 32%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Palace vs Man Utd?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Man Utd win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Palace's attack. We give Man Utd 32%.
How many goals are expected in Palace vs Man Utd?
2.6 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.