Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Emirates Stadium, London
Draw 21%
Fair odds for the pick 1.59
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 63%, draw 21%, Man Utd 16%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 51%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Strong lean: Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 63% to win (fair odds 1.59), with the draw at 21%. We expect 2.9 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 55% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 2.01 – 0.88
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Man Utd
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 80%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Man Utd win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Arsenal 2-0 Man Utd
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
Arsenal are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Emirates Stadium and pin Man Utd back for long periods.
Away
Manchester United
Well organised and hard to play through, Man Utd usually earn results on their trip to Emirates Stadium by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Man Utd score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Arsenal vs Man Utd
Manchester United head to Emirates Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 2.01 expected goals for Arsenal and 0.88 for Man Utd; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Arsenal win 63% of them. For Man Utd, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Arsenal and Man Utd
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 12 Dec. After this, they go away at Palace 8 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
Man Utd play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 12 Dec. After this, they go at home to Forest 8 days after this one. League game 16 of 38.
They meet again at Old Trafford on Sat, 27 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 12 DecArsenal vs BournemouthEmirates Stadium
- 12 DecPalace vs Man UtdSelhurst Park
- 19 DecArsenal vs Man UtdEmirates Stadium
- 27 DecMan Utd vs ForestOld Trafford
- 27 DecPalace vs ArsenalSelhurst Park
More Arsenal and Man Utd dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Arsenal vs Manchester United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Man Utd?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 63%, the draw 21% and Man Utd 16%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Manchester United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Man Utd?
On our numbers: Arsenal 1.59, draw 4.76, Man Utd 6.25. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Arsenal vs Manchester United kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Arsenal vs Man Utd mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 63%, draw 21%, Man Utd 16%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Man Utd?
We put both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Man Utd?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.