Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Emirates Stadium, London
Draw 16%
Fair odds for the pick 1.32
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 76%, draw 16%, Bournemouth 8%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 45%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Arsenal are our pick for Arsenal vs Bournemouth, at 76% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 2-0, both teams score in 45% of simulations, and the draw sits at 16%. Kick-off is Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 60% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 2.44 – 0.67
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Bournemouth
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 90%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Bournemouth win beats it.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Arsenal 2-0 Bournemouth
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Bournemouth will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
Expect Bournemouth to stay compact on their trip to Emirates Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Bournemouth score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Arsenal vs Bournemouth
Arsenal take on AFC Bournemouth in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (2.44 for Arsenal, 0.67 for Bournemouth) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 76% for Arsenal. Bournemouth's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Arsenal and Bournemouth
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 05 Dec. After this, they go at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Hull on 05 Dec. After this, they go at home to Coventry 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
They meet again at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 05 DecBournemouth vs HullVitality Stadium
- 12 DecArsenal vs BournemouthEmirates Stadium
- 19 DecArsenal vs Man UtdEmirates Stadium
- 19 DecBournemouth vs CoventryVitality Stadium
More Arsenal and Bournemouth dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 76%, the draw 16% and Bournemouth 8%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers: Arsenal 1.32, draw 6.25, Bournemouth 12.50. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 76%, draw 16%, Bournemouth 8%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
We put both teams to score at 45%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.