Premier League · London derby

Crystal Palace vs Fulham prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
57%Our pick
Crystal Palace
Clear lean

20:30

India time

Sat, 13 Mar 2027 · 15:00 UK

Selhurst Park, London

Draw 24%

Fair odds for the pick 1.75

19%Win chance
Fulham

In 30 seconds

  1. Palace 57%, draw 24%, Fulham 19%: a clear lean.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.5 xG).
  3. It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Palace
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Who wins Palace vs Fulham?

Clear lean: Crystal Palace. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 57% to win (fair odds 1.75), with the draw at 24%. We expect 2.5 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST at Selhurst Park.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Palace

    Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (46% for the over).

  3. Derby heat

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.

How many goals in Palace vs Fulham?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.84
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Fulham

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    75%

    Draw no bet

    Palace

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    75%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    14%

    Correct score

    Palace 1-0 Fulham

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.

Away

Fulham

Expect Fulham to stay compact on their trip to Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Palace name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Fulham score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Palace vs Fulham

Fulham head to Selhurst Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a clear lean. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. We project 1.67 expected goals for Palace and 0.84 for Fulham; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Palace win 57% of them. For Fulham, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar check: Palace and Fulham

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Palace play 10 days after their game away at Arsenal on 03 Mar. After this, they go away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.

Fulham play 10 days after their game away at Brighton on 03 Mar. After this, they go at home to Liverpool 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.

These sides already met at Craven Cottage on Sat, 05 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 03 MarArsenal vs PalaceEmirates Stadium
  2. 03 MarBrighton vs FulhamAmerican Express Stadium
  3. 13 MarPalace vs FulhamSelhurst Park
  4. 20 MarIpswich vs PalacePortman Road
  5. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  1. 20 MarIpswich Town vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 10 AprCrystal Palace vs EvertonPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 10 AprChelsea vs FulhamPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 13 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 13 MarAston Villa vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Crystal Palace vs Fulham: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Palace vs Fulham?

Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 57%, the draw 24% and Fulham 19%, which we class as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 14%.

What are fair odds for Palace vs Fulham?

On our numbers: Palace 1.75, draw 4.17, Fulham 5.26. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Fulham kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 (15:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Palace vs Fulham mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 57%, draw 24%, Fulham 19%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Fulham?

We put both teams to score at 46%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 46%.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Fulham?

2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 8% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.