Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs Hull City prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 13 Mar 2027 · 15:00 UK
Villa Park, Birmingham
Draw 14%
Fair odds for the pick 1.28
In 30 seconds
- Villa 78%, draw 14%, Hull 8%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.4 xG).
- Both teams to score: 47%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Villa vs Hull?
Strong lean: Aston Villa. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 78% to win (fair odds 1.28), with the draw at 14%. We expect 3.4 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST at Villa Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Villa
Villa are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.4 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 65% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 14%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Villa vs Hull?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Expected goals
- 2.64 – 0.71
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Villa vs Hull
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 91%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Villa
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 65%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.4 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Villa 2-0 Hull
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
Villa combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at Villa Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding on their trip to Villa Park. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Villa vs Hull
Aston Villa take on Hull City in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Villa's way. The gap in expected goals (2.64 for Villa, 0.71 for Hull) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 78% for Villa. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Villa and Hull
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Villa play 10 days after their game away at Liverpool on 03 Mar. After this, they go away at Forest 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.
Hull play 10 days after their game away at Leeds on 03 Mar. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.
These sides already met at MKM Stadium on Sat, 05 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Villa and Hull dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Aston Villa vs Hull City: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Villa vs Hull?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Villa 78%, the draw 14% and Hull 8%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Villa vs Hull?
On our numbers: Villa 1.28, draw 7.14, Hull 12.50. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Aston Villa vs Hull City kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 (15:00 UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Villa vs Hull mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Villa 78%, draw 14%, Hull 8%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Villa vs Hull?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Hull win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Villa's attack. We give Hull 8%.
Will both teams score in Villa vs Hull?
We put both teams to score at 47%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.