Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Chelsea prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 20 Mar 2027 · 15:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 19%
Fair odds for the pick 1.52
In 30 seconds
- Chelsea 66%, draw 19%, Hull 15%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Chelsea
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Chelsea?
Chelsea are our pick for Hull vs Chelsea, at 66% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-2, both teams score in 54% of simulations, and the draw sits at 19%. Kick-off is Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Chelsea's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 61% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Chelsea
Chelsea rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Expected goals
- 0.93 – 2.21
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Chelsea
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 82%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Chelsea
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 61%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 0-2 Chelsea
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
Hull are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape at MKM Stadium, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
Away
Chelsea
A side with title-level depth. Chelsea tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to MKM Stadium, so Hull will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Chelsea name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Chelsea
Chelsea head to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 0.93 expected goals for Hull and 2.21 for Chelsea; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Chelsea win 66% of them. For Hull, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Hull and Chelsea
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 7 days after their game away at Villa on 13 Mar. After this, they go away at Man Utd 21 days after this one. League game 30 of 38.
Chelsea play 7 days after their game at home to Arsenal on 13 Mar. After this, they go at home to Fulham 21 days after this one. League game 30 of 38.
These sides already met at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 12 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Hull and Chelsea dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Chelsea: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Chelsea?
Wazir Win predicts Chelsea. Our goals model gives Hull 15%, the draw 19% and Chelsea 66%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-2 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Chelsea?
On our numbers: Hull 6.67, draw 5.26, Chelsea 1.52. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Chelsea kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Mar 2027 (15:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Chelsea mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Chelsea aage hain: Hull 15%, draw 19%, Chelsea 66%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Hull vs Chelsea?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Chelsea?
3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 3, and a goalless draw comes up 4% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.