Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Hull City prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 · 20:00 UK
Elland Road, Leeds
Draw 21%
Fair odds for the pick 1.59
In 30 seconds
- Leeds 63%, draw 21%, Hull 16%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 49%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Leeds
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Leeds vs Hull?
Leeds United are our pick for Leeds vs Hull, at 63% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 1-0, both teams score in 49% of simulations, and the draw sits at 21%. Kick-off is Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 01:30 IST, next day.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Leeds
Leeds are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Leeds
Leeds rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Leeds vs Hull?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.93 – 0.85
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Leeds vs Hull
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 80%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Leeds
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 53%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Leeds 1-0 Hull
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Leeds are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Elland Road, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away · promoted
Hull City
Hull are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape on their trip to Elland Road, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Leeds name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Leeds vs Hull
Hull City head to Elland Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 1.93 expected goals for Leeds and 0.85 for Hull; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Leeds win 63% of them. For Hull, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Leeds and Hull
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Leeds play 4 days after their game away at Fulham on 27 Feb. After this, they go at home to Brighton 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.
Hull play 4 days after their game at home to Man City on 27 Feb. After this, they go away at Villa 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.
These sides already met at MKM Stadium on Tue, 29 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Leeds and Hull dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Leeds United vs Hull City: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Hull?
Wazir Win predicts Leeds United. Our goals model gives Leeds 63%, the draw 21% and Hull 16%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Hull City?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Leeds vs Hull?
On our numbers: Leeds 1.59, draw 4.76, Hull 6.25. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Leeds United vs Hull City kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (20:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Leeds vs Hull mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Leeds United aage hain: Leeds 63%, draw 21%, Hull 16%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Hull?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Hull?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.