Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Leeds United prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 10%
Fair odds for the pick 1.18
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 85%, draw 10%, Leeds 5%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.5 xG).
- Both teams to score: 41%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Leeds?
Liverpool are our pick for Liverpool vs Leeds, at 85% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 2-0, both teams score in 41% of simulations, and the draw sits at 10%. Kick-off is Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.5 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 69% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 10%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Expected goals
- 2.98 – 0.57
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Leeds
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 95%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Leeds win beats it.
- 69%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.5 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 2-0 Leeds
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Leeds will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
Leeds United
Expect Leeds to stay compact on their trip to Anfield and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Leeds score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Leeds
Liverpool take on Leeds United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (2.98 for Liverpool, 0.57 for Leeds) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 85% for Liverpool. Leeds's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Leeds
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Chelsea on 05 Dec. After this, they go at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 05 Dec. After this, they go at home to Fulham 7 days after this one. League game 15 of 38.
They meet again at Elland Road on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
More Liverpool and Leeds dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Leeds United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Leeds?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 85%, the draw 10% and Leeds 5%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Leeds United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Leeds?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.18, draw 10.00, Leeds 20.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Leeds United kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Leeds mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 85%, draw 10%, Leeds 5%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Leeds?
We put both teams to score at 41%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Leeds?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Leeds win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Leeds 5%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.