Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Liverpool prediction
23:00
India time
Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 17:30 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 16%
Fair odds for the pick 1.35
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 74%, draw 16%, Hull 10%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2; goals expected (3.4 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are our pick for Hull vs Liverpool, at 74% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-2, both teams score in 53% of simulations, and the draw sits at 16%. Kick-off is Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 23:00 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Liverpool's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.4 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 66% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Expected goals
- 0.85 – 2.56
- Half-time call
- 0-1
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 88%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 66%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.4 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 0-2 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding at MKM Stadium. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
Away
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to MKM Stadium, so Hull will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Liverpool
Hull City take on Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (0.85 for Hull, 2.56 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 74% for Liverpool. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Hull and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 7 days after their game away at Man City on 19 Dec. After this, they go at home to Leeds 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 17 of 38.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Spurs on 19 Dec. After this, they go away at Villa 4 days after this one. League game 17 of 38.
They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
- 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
- 26 DecHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium
- 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
- 30 DecVilla vs LiverpoolVilla Park
More Hull and Liverpool dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Hull 10%, the draw 16% and Liverpool 74%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-2 (half-time 0-1). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Hull 10.00, draw 6.25, Liverpool 1.35. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Liverpool kick off in India?
23:00 IST India time on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 (17:30 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Hull 10%, draw 16%, Liverpool 74%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Hull win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Hull 10%.
Where can I watch Hull vs Liverpool?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Liverpool?
3.4 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 5, and a goalless draw comes up 3% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.